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Gold Price Forecast: Where XAU/USD Selloff May Stop?

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 November 2022
This week, Gold slipped to a multi-week low eyeing a test of well-known technical levels. Where could XAU/USD rebound?

Gold Technical Analysis

·       XAU/USD trend changes from neutral to bearish  

·       Bearish momentum may accelerate below $1,861

Bulls Pullback

On September 16, Gold rallied to an over two-week high at $1,973 then retreated after as bulls seemed to cut back. Ultimately, a weekly candlestick closed with a Doji pattern highlighting the market indecision. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained flat then crossed below 50 on Monday signaling a possible start of bearish momentum.

Gold Daily Price Chart (August 6 – September 23, 2020)


Chart source, Webtrader, Capex.com

On Monday, Gold slipped by 1.7% and closed below the 50-day moving average. The precious metal moved to the lower trading zone $1,861- $1,921 eyeing a test of the low end of it.

A daily close below the low end of the zone could encourage bears to press towards the monthly support at $1,796 (Oct 2012 high).

On the other hand, a failure to close below the low end of the zone at $1,861 could reverse the current direction towards the high end of the zone.

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Gold Four Hour Price Chart (September 8 – September 23, 2020)


Chart source, Webtrader, Capex.com

Last week, Gold traded below the bullish trendline support originated from the Sep 8 low at $1,906 and started a downward trend creating lower highs with lower lows.

To conclude, while the negative bias is still in place a break below $1,847 could send XAU/USD towards $1,818 while a break above $1,944 may trigger a rally towards $1,966. As such, the support and resistance levels underscored on the chart should be monitored closely.

The information presented herein is prepared by capex.com/ae and does not intend to constitute Investment Advice. The information herein is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only.Users/readers should not rely solely on the information presented herewith and should do their own research/analysis by also reading the actual underlying research. The content herewith is generic and does not take into consideration individual personal circumstances, investment experience, or current financial situation. 

Key Way Markets Ltd shall not accept any responsibility for any losses of traders due to the use and the content of the information presented herein. Past performance and forecasts are not reliable indicators of future results.

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.