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Indices recover some of their losses, all eyes on Fed’s Meeting Minutes – Market Overview

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 November 2022
Today, the markets begin on a more positive note, recovering some of their losses incurred in the previous days.

The Japanese Nikkei index jumped more than 2%, and both the European and North American indices advanced.

Tomorrow, the market’s attention will be Fed’s Meeting Minutes. According to the consensus, there will be no relevant information that could alter the behaviour of the markets, especially related to a reduction in the purchase of assets or a change regarding monetary policy.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury Bonds yields remain stable, with the 10-year benchmark bond at around 1.64%. However, the U.S. Dollar weakened significantly due to low-interest rates, and it is expected to be down as long as the Federal Reserve does not change its monetary policy.

The U.S. Dollar’s fall impacted its price against the Canadian dollar. The USD/CAD pair started a downtrend a little over a year ago and has recently broken below a critical resistance zone located around the 1.22 zone. Below this level, it could make its way to further falls around the 1.05 area.

The bearish behaviour of this pair is not only because of a weaker USD but also due to the strength of the Canadian dollar. The latter is driven by an economy with a high rate of recovery and by the positive behaviour of the commodity markets, especially oil, with which it maintains a high positive correlation in terms of price.

OIL is trading near the highest levels of the last two years, with a resistance level in the 67.70 area. This upward movement is motivated by the increase in global demand after the huge fall that occurred as a result of the mobility restriction measures, in addition to the decisions taken by OPEC to reduce production.

Sources: Bloomberg, reuters.com.

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
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Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.