All eyes on oil

Von: Miguel A. Rodriguez

13:24, 19 November 2021

1637313933.jpg
Yesterday can be considered a transition moment in the market with corrective movements and without any notable economic data

The only highlights were the rises experienced by the S&P500 indices and especially the Nasdaq, which returned to the zone of maximums driven by semiconductor stocks. To the momentum also contributed Apple, which announced that it would enter the electric vehicle market, lifting its stock 3% higher to a new all-time record. 

GráficoDescripción generada automáticamente

 

However, the Dow Jones industrial index was losing steam, and after the fall experienced the previous day, it closed the Wednesday trading session unchanged.

The corrections expected by most market analysts do not seem to occur even as the technical analysis indicators continue to show signs of exhaustion of the bullish movement with overbought RSI and with divergences in both daily and weekly charts.

 

In this sense, next week will be significant because of the Q3 US GDP figures publication, which will give us more clues as to whether the American economy grows or slows down. Despite data being relevant for the performance of stocks related to growth, the market’s focus will also be on the personal consumption expenditure data, which is the benchmark for the Fed to calibrate inflation.

 

The debate on whether inflation is temporary or permanent is still ongoing. Higher inflation would increase investors’ concerns who fear that the Federal Reserve is not reacting on time and is staying behind the curve.

One of the factors that most affect the generalized price increases is the rise of energy costs. The American government stood by its statements against the surge in oil prices. News surrounding talks between China, Japan, and the United States for joint action to release their strategic oil reserves to the market seems to be pushing down the crude oil price.

 

Although yesterday the crude oil experienced an upward correction, technically, it has started a new downward movement. It has led it to touch the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level at $76.53/barrel, from where it has rebounded during the session. Below this zone, the next level of support is at the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement at $73.70/barrel, where the 100-day SMA line currently runs. 

GráficoDescripción generada automáticamente

 

Sources: Bloomberg.com, reuters.com

Artikel teilen

Die hier präsentierten Informationen wurden von CAPEX.com/de erstellt und sind nicht als Investitionsberatung gedacht. Die hierin enthaltenen Informationen werden als allgemeine Marketingmitteilung nur zu Informationszwecken bereitgestellt. Als solche wurden sie nicht in Verbindung mit gesetzlichen Bestimmungen zur Förderung der Unabhängigkeit des Investment Research erstellt. Sie unterliegen nicht dem Verbot, vor der Verbreitung eines Investment Research gehandelt zu werden.Die Benutzer / Die Leser sollten sich nicht nur auf die hier präsentierten Informationen verlassen und sollten ihre eigene Forschung / Analyse durchführen, indem sie auch die eigentliche zugrunde liegende Forschung lesen.Der Inhalt ist dabei generisch und wird nicht die individuelle persönliche Umstände,Anlageerfahrungen oder die aktuelle finanzielle Situationen berücksichtigten.Daher übernimmt Key Way Investments Ltd keine Haftung für Verluste von Händlern aufgrund der Verwendung und des Inhalts der hierin enthaltenen Informationen. Die in der Vergangenheit gezeigte Performance und gemachten Prognosen sind kein zuverlässiger Indikator für künftige Ergebnisse.