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Bank of Spain expects a drop in GDP

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
14 September 2020
While Spain’s economic future looks grim, the market moves the opposite direction.

Today, the Bank of Spain governor, Pablo Hernandez de Cos, announced that the pandemic's effects on the Spanish economy would last longer than expected. An economic deterioration will happen during the second quarter of this year.

The pandemic made the economy set records – it shrunk by 5.2% in just three months, outperforming even Japan, which had an economic contraction of 3.4%. Initially, the bank predicted a decrease of 6.8% to 12.4%, but de Cos revised the numbers to 9.5% - 12.4%.He expects the economy to recover in 2021 and to have a growth of up to 8.5%.

The announcement comes shortly after Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez stated that he looks upon parliament to extend the state of emergency. The presumed extension will be the last one and will last until late June, as the current containment measures managed to bring the country's death toll to an eight-week low. The lockdown came in force on March 14.

The death toll was 27,563 on Saturday, with 102 new deaths, the lowest daily increase since March 18.

Since May 11, some restrictions eased, and café terraces reopened, and people were allowed to be in groups of maximum 10.

Although some look at these measures with caution, the market opened higher, and Spain35 gained until now more than 3%. 

Sources: investing.com, aljazeera.com, reuters.com


This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.