ECB is steady in its policy approach

By: Miguel A. Rodriguez

09:45, 14 September 2020

The European Central Bank: the interest rates will be unchanged

The long-awaited European Central Bank meeting came and left the markets in a state of awe.

At the press conference, the ECB announced that it would keep its interest rates unchanged. The refinancing operations rate will remain at 0.0%, while the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will be steady at 0.25% and -0.50%. At the same time, the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) also remains as it is at $1.6 trillion. Although the Bank is against significant policy action, the ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that "Certainly under current circumstances, it is very likely that the full envelope of PEPP will be used."

The decisions came unexpectedly, given the fact that for August, inflation had the lowest reading in almost two decades.

Moreover, the ECB revised its GDP forecast for 2020, after an economic rebound in the Eurozone has been reported, “the incoming data since our last monetary policy meeting in July suggest a strong rebound in activity broadly in line with previous expectations." It is expected to reach 8% from a previous estimate of 8.7%. For 2021 and 2022, the Bank is looking for a 5% growth and 3.2%, respectively.

Despite Lagarde’s statement, analysts are expecting an increase of PEPP by the end of the year. 

During the press conference, the EUR/USD reached one-week high trading at $1.1902. 

Read how markets performed after the meeting here!

Sources: theguardian.com, cnbc.com


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This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided.