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IMF posts even more grim predictions

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
14 September 2020
The pandemic’s effects over the economies are more intense than anticipated.

The second wave of infections doesn't do anyone any favors, especially the world's economy. If, two months ago, the situation didn't look too bleak, now, the IMF revised its initial forecasts, and the global output is at even more risk.

Even though economies started to reopen, the International Monetary Fund stated that lockdown characteristics and social distancing worked as a whole that hit not only investment but also consumption.

Now, the IMF expects the global output to contract by 4.9% from the previous 3%. The next year’s recovery will be weaker than the 5.8% expected (to a revised 5.4%). 

The world's major economies will feel the hit harder than the rest. The US and Eurozone output is said to contract by more than the 2% predicted. The US will probably reach 8% shrinkage, while Eurozone faces 10.2% downturn in 2020. 

In Latin America, the decline would be higher, with Brazil heading towards 9.1%, and Argentina to 9.9%. Mexico should experience a 10.5% decrease. 

Although it is the place where it all started, and for some time it was hit the hardest, China will be showing a 1% economic improvement in 2020, revised from 1.2%.

According to the IMF, the world needs more policy actions and support from governments and central banks to reduce the pandemic's impact and support businesses and jobs.

Europe50 is currently trading by more than 0.20% higher, while the American benchmarks lost between 0.19% and 0.50%. 

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Sources: reuters.com, finance.yahoo.com


This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.