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Japan is in technical recession

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
14 September 2020
The pandemic pushed Japan into recession.

The world's third-biggest economy contracted 3.4% during the first trimester of 2020 reaching a technical recession. This coming after last year’s quarter performance of +6.4%. 

The measures taken by the government and by the BOJ, meaning the open-ended stimulus package, are not enough to keep the economy afloat. The future doesn’t hold any positive prospects, as analysts expect a decline during the second quarter of this year (shrinkage of 22%), which would be the biggest on record.

Japan’s situation is extraordinary, as its economy has been stagnant. The only sectors boosting the economy have been tourism, and export of goods, which accounted for 16% of the economy. The pandemic had an impact on both of these. Car manufacturing also dropped all over the world: Toyota and Honda had recorded a decrease in global sales. 

While Japan's economy will shrink by 22%, the American one is to contract more than 25%. Also, the expected quarterly decrease for USA is higher than Japan's – 4.8%. It is the most significant decline that the U.S. had since 1930.

China, which is the second economic power in the world, had an economic shrinkage of 6.8% for the first quarter of 2020.

For a country to fall into a technical recession, two consecutive quarters of contraction must be confirmed. 

Although its financial situation is difficult, its benchmark, Japan225, was not impacted by the news, and it gained 0.48% at the latest trading session.

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Sources: theguardian.com, edition.cnn.com, bbc.com

This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.