The Dollar could be on a downward trend

By: Miguel A. Rodriguez

09:45, 14 September 2020

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The most valuable currency in the world could lose its place.

The recent events have impacted not only people and businesses but, by extension, the currencies. Since the pandemic started until now, the world's most valuable currency, the US Dollar, kept its steady position over the past few months.

But in the long run, things don’t look too rosy.  According to Stephen Roach, the Dollar is on its way down.  The fall would be dramatic – up to 35% against other major currencies. Global changes and the U.S. debt reaching World War II levels seem to be the main culprits. 

The Dollar Index gained more than 1% in the last couple of weeks, but experts believe it will fall as the national savings rate will continue to drop. The drop could happen in the next two years, probably more. If the inflation rate gets higher due to the high cost of imported goods, the interest rates could be affected negatively. Moreover, if the price of imported goods rises, that could lead to an increase in oil prices. 

The analysts were looking at a 1970s kind of stagflation when the economic growth stopped, but prices kept on rising.

The predictions are grim for the Dollar, and a future power change in November might not help things for the better.  

Even today, the Dollar fell against the EUR by 2.1%. USD/CNY remained steady at 107.35. GBP/USD gained 0.2%. 

Sources: cnbc.com, the balance.com, reuters.com


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This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided.