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Will $500 billion help the EU economy?

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
14 September 2020
France and Germany lend a helping hand to countries affected by the pandemic.

Europe's biggest economies have decided to work together to help the less fortunate sectors and European regions fight the pandemic's effects. Yesterday, in a mutual statement, Angela Merkel and Emmanuel Macron announced the monetary measure, consisting of a $545 billion debt-backed plan that can allow the European Commission to borrow money on behalf of the EU. It is considered to be a grant and not a loan.

The European Union expects a recession of historic proportions due to the pandemic, with an economic contraction of 7.5% in 2020. The silver lining comes next year, as a growth of 6% is in sight.

Countries like Spain and Italy – whose economies are tourism-based – will suffer more than others, and this plan can mean hope for them. They already tried to convince their European counterparts to be more supportive by sharing debt payable by all EU nations.

The plan was received with open arms by the majority. Vitor Constancio, former ECB Vice-President, believes that it is a "great proposal," and he encourages the idea that countries should receive funds depending on how badly they have been affected, and not according to GDP. The grants will be paid through annual budget contributions.

ECB President Christine Lagarde characterized the plan as "ambitious, targeted, and welcome." 

Austrian Chancellor is opposing the idea of grants, marching on the concept of loans: "We expect the updated [EU budget] to reflect the new priorities rather than raising the ceiling."

Although this is a way of helping others, specialists see this as a political move from both countries. French President Emmanuel Macron needs to improve his image in the country and be more European-driven. At the same time, the German Chancellor must protect her political legacy, this being her last term of office.

Markets opened lower today, with France40 losing 0.9%, and Europe50 shedding 0.8%. Italy40 dropped by 1.2%, while Germany30 traded lower by 0.5%.

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Sources: bbc.com, marketwatch.com, investing.com


This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.