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British Government Completely Reversed the Fiscal Plan to Avoid a Domino Effect

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 November 2022
The S&P500 index advanced more than 2%, recovering all of the ground lost in the previous day and is technically forming a base in the area around 3,600.

As announced by the new economic chancellor, the British government completely reversed the fiscal plan that caused severe turmoil in the fixed-income market and had a knock-on effect on global markets. 

The recent new government's economic project of significantly lowering taxes while maintaining spending has been abandoned, with which the criticism of the prime minister intensifies. Moreover, there is already talk that she is going to be dismissed by her own party through a motion of censure in parliament. 

However, once the fiscal plan, which contradicted the current monetary policy of the Bank of England and the rest of the Western central banks, was left behind, the markets appeared to have calmed down.  

The Bank of England was forced to intervene by buying bonds in the market to prevent the collapse of pension funds and insurance companies, which contradicted the central bank's plans to raise interest rates to combat inflation while reducing the bond portfolio. 

The yield on the 10-year British bond fell to 3.95% from 4.60% in the previous days. This is a clear sign of market normalization, which has had an impact on the global fixed income market. The 10-year US bond yield has also tumbled below 4%, which has been welcomed by Wall Street indices. 

Another factor that contributed to the improved performance of the stock markets was the drop in the NY Empire Manufacturing figure, which fell to -9.10%. A bad figure for the economy, but it increases the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates more slowly. From now until November 2, the market will be paying close attention to both economic data that may influence the Federal Reserve's decision and comments made by Fed officials this week. 

The US dollar fell yesterday as risk sentiment improved, and stock indices rose significantly, fueled in part by corporate results, such as Bank of America's, which exceeded analysts' expectations. 

The S&P500 index advanced more than 2%, recovering all of the ground lost in the previous day and is technically forming a base in the area around 3,600. 

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Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters 

This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.