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Central banks were the protagonists yesterday

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 November 2022
The Bank of England raised interest rates to 0.50%, pushing the pound higher. The European Central Bank president Lagarde hinted at potential monetary policy changes.

In addition, she stated that inflation took them by surprise and that it will probably remain high for longer than initially expected. Should inflation persist, they will take the appropriate measures to try and push it back towards target levels around 2%.

In short, it was a discourse different from the previous "hawkish" ones, undoubtedly due to the pressure that the changes in monetary policy in England and the United States are beginning to exert, but also due to internal pressures that advocate a more determined action to curb inflation.

The result in the market has been remarkable, with a significant rebound in European bond yields. The Bund shot up to 0.16% after just a few days ago it was in negative territory. As a consequence, the euro went even higher.

EUR/USD rallied to levels close to the 100-day SMA at 1.1430, the highest levels since June 21, and was heading towards the next price concentration level at 1.1550. 

Today the US employment data is scheduled for publishing. The markets don’t expect positive results, even more so after the poor figure for ADP employment. In conclusion, the recent downward movement of the dollar could be accentuated if expectations in this regard are confirmed.

In the stock markets, the crashes were widespread, with Facebook stock as the main trigger. Facebook opened down 26%, reversing all of its gains from the past 20 months. This happened after the company reported its first quarterly decline in active users and forecasted a profit squeeze this year due to huge project's investment in the Metaverse and the restrictions imposed by Apple on its advertising campaigns.

This brought with it important falls for the Nasdaq index – higher than 2% -  potentially turning the previous price surge into a mere correction of the last downward leg. Now the next reference level is at the recent lows, around 13,830.

Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters.

This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.