Article Hero

Crude Oil Forecast: Will Oil Price Break the $50 Barrier?

1606315899.jpg
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 November 2022
This week, bulls rallied the oil price to a multi-month high, will bulls continue leading the price or will bears come back?

Oil Price Technical Overview

  • Oil Price nears a nine-month high
  • Positive outlook while above $46.47 for the Brent oil and $43.80 for the US Oil

The Oil price rallied further on Wednesday on increasing optimism of better global demand in 2021 thanks to the coronavirus vaccines’ breakthrough combined with expectations that OPEC+ would delay an increase in production planned for January next year.

Brent Oil Daily Price Chart (Feb 19 -November 25, 2020)

On November 9, the Brent oil broke above the slopping bearish trendline originated from the February 20 high at 59.99 highlighting a shift in favor of the bull’s control. Yesterday, the price climbed to a higher trading zone $46.47 - $50.50 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) rose to overbought territory emphasizing the strength of the bullish momentum.

 A daily close above the high end of the zone at $50.50 may trigger a rally towards the monthly resistance level at $54.26.

On the flip side, a failure in closing above the high end of the zone could reverse the price’s direction towards the low end of the zone at $46.47. A further close below that level could send the price even lower towards the weekly support level at $41.60.

As such, the support and resistance levels underlined on the chart should be watched closely.

Would you like to trade on live oil prices with a regulated broker? Open an account

US Oil Daily Price Chart (January 20 - November 25, 2020)

Yesterday, bulls took charge and pushed the US Oil rallied to a higher trading zone $43.80 - $48.00.

A daily close above the high end of the zone at $48.00 may encourage bulls to extend the rally towards the monthly resistance level at $54.57.

On the other hand, a failure in closing above the high end could reverse the price direction towards the low end of the zone at $43.80. A further close below that level could mean more bearishness towards $39.50.

As such, the support and resistance levels underlined on the chart should be watched closely.

This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

Share this article

How did you find this article?

Awful
Ok
Great
Awesome

Read More

Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.