With midweek trading underway, markets are turning their attention to upcoming high-impact economic releases, including Thursday's Swiss CPI and U.S. ISM Services PMI, followed by Friday's Canadian employment data and the closely watched U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls. These events are likely to set the tone for volatility across currencies and commodities, with gold and silver in focus after extending gains to multi-year and record highs.
Overview
With midweek trading underway, markets are turning their attention to upcoming high-impact economic releases, including Thursday's Swiss CPI and U.S. ISM Services PMI, followed by Friday's Canadian employment data and the closely watched U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls. These events are likely to set the tone for volatility across currencies and commodities, with gold and silver in focus after extending gains to multi-year and record highs.
Key Economic Events
Thursday 09:30 am (GMT+3) – Switzerland: CPI m/m (CHF)
Thursday 17:00 (GMT+3) – USA: ISM Services PMI (USD)
Friday 15:30 (GMT+3) – Canada: Employment Change (CAD)
Friday 15:30 (GMT+3) – USA: Non-Farm Employment Change (USD)
Chart Analysis
Following its record high of $3,499.98 on April 22, gold consolidated within a defined range, bounded by resistance at $3,451.09 and support near $3,248.20. This consolidation phase developed into a Symmetrical Triangle formation, a pattern that typically favors continuation of the prevailing trend. The decisive breakout above $3,499.98 on September 1 confirms this view, opening the door for further upside potential, recording a fresh all-time high at $3,546.47.
Technical indicators remain supportive of the bullish outlook. The 20- and 50-period EMAs are positively aligned, with price consistently trading above both averages. Momentum dynamics also reinforce the trend, with the Momentum Oscillator holding above the 100 baseline and the RSI maintaining levels above 50, underscoring sustained buying interest. Nevertheless, emerging overbought readings across momentum oscillators caution that a short-term corrective phase cannot be ruled out before the broader uptrend resumes.
Key Resistance Levels
Should the buyers maintain market control, traders may direct their attention toward the four potential resistance levels below:
3,546.47: The initial resistance level is established at 3,546.47, which mirrors the daily high reached on September 3.
3,566.54: The second price target is set at 3,566.54, representing the 261.8% Fibonacci Extension drawn from 3,408.70 to 3,311.15.
3,586.42: The third price objective is observed at 3,586.42, corresponding to the weekly resistance, S3, estimated using the standard Pivot Points methodology.
3,724.37: An additional upside target is projected at 3,724.37, reflecting the 423.6% Fibonacci Extension drawn from 3,408.70 to 3,311.15.
Key Support Levels
Should the sellers take market control, traders may consider the four potential support levels listed below:
3,499.98: The initial support level is seen at 3,499.98, corresponding to the peak reached on April 22.
3,451.09: The second support level is estimated at 3,451.09, representing the peak marked on June 16.
3,417.45: The third support level is identified at 3,417.45, reflecting the weekly Pivot Point calculated using the standard methodology.
3,351.08: An additional downside target is 3,351.08, mirroring the swing low from August 20.
Fundamentals
Gold hit another record high above $3,546 an ounce, extending a six-day rally on expectations of imminent U.S. rate cuts and heightened haven demand amid debt and Fed-independence concerns. The metal is up more than a third this year, with traders eyeing Friday's U.S. jobs report for further confirmation of a softening labor market. Silver, meanwhile, has outperformed gold in 2025, climbing about 40% year-to-date and breaking $40 an ounce for the first time since 2011. Ongoing industrial demand, recurring supply deficits, and strong ETF inflows continue to underpin silver's bullish outlook.
Conclusion
Gold's breakout to fresh records and silver's surge above $40 underscore the strength of the current precious metals rally, supported by technical momentum and robust fundamentals. While near-term overbought conditions point to the risk of corrective pullbacks, the broader trend bias remains constructive. With key economic data releases ahead, particularly U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls, traders should remain alert for heightened volatility and confirmation signals around critical support and resistance levels.