Gold Price Forecast: Where XAU/USD Selloff May Stop?

Gold Price Forecast: Where XAU/USD Selloff May Stop?

This week, Gold slipped to a multi-week low eyeing a test of well-known technical levels. Where could XAU/USD rebound?

Gold Technical Analysis

  • XAU/USD trend changes from neutral to bearish
  • Bearish momentum may accelerate below $1,861

Bulls Pullback

On September 16, Gold rallied to an over two-week high at $1,973 then retreated after as bulls seemed to cut back. Ultimately, a weekly candlestick closed with a Doji pattern highlighting the market indecision. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained flat then crossed below 50 on Monday signaling a possible start of bearish momentum.

Gold Daily Price Chart (August 6 – September 23, 2020)


Chart source, Webtrader, Capex.com

On Monday, Gold slipped by 1.7% and closed below the 50-day moving average. The precious metal moved to the lower trading zone $1,861- $1,921 eyeing a test of the low end of it.

A daily close below the low end of the zone could encourage bears to press towards the monthly support at $1,796 (Oct 2012 high).

On the other hand, a failure to close below the low end of the zone at $1,861 could reverse the current direction towards the high end of the zone.

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Gold Four Hour Price Chart (September 8 – September 23, 2020)


Chart source, Webtrader, Capex.com

Last week, Gold traded below the bullish trendline support originated from the Sep 8 low at $1,906 and started a downward trend creating lower highs with lower lows.

To conclude, while the negative bias is still in place a break below $1,847 could send XAU/USD towards $1,818 while a break above $1,944 may trigger a rally towards $1,966. As such, the support and resistance levels underscored on the chart should be monitored closely.


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