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Rising COVID-19 cases worsen risk sentiment, stock indices impacted - Market Overview

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 November 2022
Market risk sentiment worsens slightly due to the increase in infections worldwide, especially in India, where the situation seems to be out of control.

The administration of vaccines in the West continues at a good pace. However, both in Europe and in the United States, the infection figures remain worrying, and mobility restriction measures have not yet been lifted in Europe.

U.S. stock markets

Yesterday the American stock indices suffered a significant fall, leading to a movement that for now can be considered as merely corrective from a technical perspective. However, there appears to be no fundamental reason, other than that derived from the evolution of infections, that could generate a greater correction.

Asian stock markets.

In Asia, the stock markets suffered bigger falls yesterday, as is the case with the Hang Seng index, which accumulated losses of three consecutive days (around 2.5%).

This index is again in a pivot zone around 28328. If it falls below this level, losses could accelerate to around 27,000. The 28328 area appears to be important, too, since the 100-day SMA line passes through there, currently acting as support.

European stock markets.

The European stock markets have also suffered corrections. Germany30 fell around 2.5% in the last three days.

In this case, concerns regarding Germany’s lockdown measures implemented and the high incidence of cases could be perceived as significant enough reasons to lead investors to involve in profit-taking. On the other hand, the delay in implementing the European fiscal stimulus package approved months ago could be an additional cause for concern, potentially delaying the recovery of the European economy.

Technically, the German index is still far from support zones or pivot points where the current trend would normally reverse. The two main technical support areas are at 14793 and 14429, still a long way from the 100-day SMA line currently passing through 14098. The RSI indicator is correcting from overbought levels, so it could still have enough room for correction.

Tomorrow's ECB meeting will not provide any additional elements that could affect the markets. No change is expected either in its monetary policy instruments or in its discourse, which will remain in the same direction as the previous ones.

Sources:  investing.com, reuters.com.

This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.