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Rising inflation expectations impact global equities - Market Overview

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 November 2022
The stock markets are beginning to feel threatened by rising inflation expectations worldwide. The weak labor market data might convince the Fed to make a move to control inflation spikes.

Added to this is the increase in commodity prices. For example, Copper is trading at its highest levels in history. Problems in the supply chains that have caused a shortage of manufacturing components have led to increasingly high prices.

Elsewhere, U.S. Treasury Bonds yields are stable, with the 10-year benchmark trading around 1.60%. However, if inflation surges, the markets expect yields to resume their upward path, negatively impacting the stock markets.

Stock markets feel the shocks.

Yesterday, the pressure started to pile up in the tech sector, slowly taking over other major industries. In the early morning, the Asian stock markets were also affected by the selling pressure.

Tomorrow, U.S.’ CPI data is scheduled for release. If expectations are surpassed, and the report shows rising figures, then the risk aversion could increase.

Another cause for concern is related to the costs of the pandemic. The enormous government spending deployed by all countries could be reflected in tax increases that are being prepared at the government level and possibly affect the rich people.

As a result of this scenario, the Tech 100 technological index lost over 3%. For the first time in more than a year, the index began to pierce the 100-day SMA line that is now passing through the area of 13281, now acting as the primary supporting reference. Daily closes below this level could make room for bearish scenarios.

Asian stock markets have also experienced losses for the same reasons. For example, Nikkei dropped more than 3% too. Technically, it is approaching a support band located around 28,465, piercing the line of 100 days SMA.

Sources: Bloomberg, reuters.com.

This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.