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The financial markets collapse in early trading

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 November 2022
US indices started yesterday’s session on a downward spiral, with the Tech100 index shedding close to 5%. European stock markets and energy prices fall too.

The US indices all entered the so-called correction zone - another way of calling a trend change. But as the session progressed, they all recovered to a certain degree.

The prospect of a Russian attack on Ukraine comes as an additional troublesome element for investors who were already worried about the Fed's tightening of monetary policy, something that may start as early as tomorrow after the FOMC meeting.

NATO said on Monday that it was putting forces on standby and bolstering Eastern Europe with more ships and fighter jets in response to Russia's military buildup at Ukraine's borders. At the same time, the United States announced that they were willing to send 5,000 troops in aid.

Tensions are reaching a boiling point, with huge military forces on both sides of the Russian-Ukrainian border and with the departure of staff from some Western embassies in Kyiv. Therefore, all the circumstances are in place for an episode of risk aversion similar to the one we witnessed yesterday.

Investors continued to buy treasuries as safe-haven assets, pushing the US 10-year yield down to 1.70%, despite future Fed rate hikes being a certainty.

Although the demand for energy raw materials should be high in case of a potential confrontation with Russia - the main supplier of Natural Gas to Europe and one of the main oil suppliers – both commodity prices fell.

However, European indices suffered the greatest losses, somehow logical if the reason for the crash was the fear of a confrontation in Ukraine on European territory. It is a known fact that 40% of the Natural Gas that Europe consumes is imported from Russia.

DAX fell to a major support zone around 14,900, from where it rebounded. Below this level, the German index would enter a "correction zone," losing the previous upward trend.

Sources: Bloomberg Reuters.

This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.