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Traders await economic readings

Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 November 2022
Global shares jump as earnings boost. US Dollar hits 20-year high

Tech stocks rose during yesterday's session with solid gains, led by a rally in Facebook parent Meta Platforms, which rose nearly 19%. At the close of the session, Amazon and Apple published disparate quarterly results. While Apple beat analysts' forecasts, Amazon suffered a $7.6 billion loss in non-operating expenses following its investment in Rivian Automotive. 

However, the session saw significant gains that supported Wall Street even after the US Commerce Department estimated that gross domestic product fell by 1.4% last quarter.

Although according to some analysts, the headline is misleading since inventories and public spending were items that experienced a significant decline, consumption and business investments were solid. On the other hand, this figure may mean that the Fed is taking greater precautions when deciding on the monetary policy. The interest rates the market is already discounting are not so restrictive. This, if so, would be a relief for the markets that have seen more aggressive decisions by the Federal Reserve, especially for tech stocks that have been the most affected by interest rate rises.

Today, the figure for personal consumption expenditure will be made public and closely followed by investors to evaluate the evolution of inflation for March. If it shows any sign of regression, it could also influence future Fed decisions.



Extraordinary movements are taking place in the foreign exchange market with a generalized strengthening of the US Dollar. The strength came due to increases in interest rates and capital flows towards safe-haven assets (of which the Dollar seems to be seen as). Rebalancing flows at the end of the month on this occasion are entirely on account of US Dollar buyers.

This strength of the US Dollar is causing distortions in the market, mainly on USD/JPY, which has reached the highest levels in the last 20 years. This is concerning to the Japanese monetary authorities, who have already spoken out against what they consider disorderly movement and threatened to intervene in the market to stop it.

Technically, the next reference level would be around 134, but the daily RSIs are already showing a triple bearish divergence that points to corrections in the pair.








Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.