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US Bond yields rose again yesterday

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 November 2022
The 10-year bond reached 1.54% due to overall sales in all references driven by the imminent start of the Fed-confirmed tapering program

This move substantially affected the stock markets, which tumbled after last week’s upward correction.

Also contributing to this deep bearish movement was yesterday’s figures, such as the US consumer confidence for September, which fell to 109.3 from the 114.5 forecasted, and the Richmond Fed manufacturing index, which fell to -3 versus the expected 13.

Weak figures for the US economy due to the Delta variant add to concerns about the slowdown in the Chinese economy. Moreover, the persistent blockages in the supply chain, the rise in energy prices, and the uncertainty about the future of Evergrande bring more reasons for concerns.

To this perfect storm must be added the lack of political agreement in the United States. There are discussions regarding the debt ceiling rise, and thus the administration to be able to continue its activity without incurring default.

Yesterday, the most affected index was TECH100, with a loss of 2.79% and closing slightly below the support zone around 14.820. Below this level, it works its way, from a technical analysis perspective to 14,516.

 

USA500 also fell sharply, losing almost 2% at the closing bell. In this case, the index failed to go below the 100-day SMA line currently acting as a support level. Below this indicator, it does not find any support until the 4229 area.

Interfaz de usuario gráfica, GráficoDescripción generada automáticamente

 The US dollar also moved accordingly to the scenario of rallies in long-term interest rates with generalized rises mainly reflected in USD/JPY. The pair reached the July highs of 111.65, a reference level which its surpassing opens a bullish scenario of significant distance from a technical point of view.

 

Sources: Bloomberg.com, reuters.com

This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.