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The UK is heading toward recession

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
14 settembre 2020
ONS economic predictions are grim.

Over the past couple of weeks, we saw the pandemic effects over the world's biggest economies, such as the US, Germany, Japan.

The latest data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed a historical decline for the UK economy. The country’s economy contracted by 20.4% in April alone. It is a more significant drop than the one recorded during the 2008-2009 financial crises. A decade ago, the GDP shrank only 6.9% in 13 months. Data shows that every area of the economy was affected by the pandemic and essential service sectors contracted by a fifth (high street store closure, car sales, hospitality). The manufacturing sector's output fell by a quarter, while construction fell 40%.

Even though the lockdown measures started to ease in May, analysts believe that between April and June, it is possible that an even more significant drop could make the country fall into a deep recession.  

Overall, ONS expects the economy to contract by 11.5% this year. If the country is hit by a second wave of infections and a second lockdown is necessary, the GDP could plummet 14%. 

The country’s benchmark, UK100, closed yesterday's trading session being 2.6% lower.

Read more, know more, be informed!

Sources: theguardian.com, marketwatch.com, bbc.com


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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
financial_writer

Miguel ha lavorato per importanti istituzioni finanziarie, come Banco Santander e Banco Central-Hispano. È autore di libri sul trading di valuta con diverse pubblicazioni alle spalle.