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Global currencies in intense race – Market Overview

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 noviembre 2022
The end of the month is usually when market movements increase their volatility, and financial assets behave in an uncorrelated way, more due to funding portfolio adjustments.

In general terms, the stock markets show some weakness, motivated mainly by taking profits and closing positions and in the opposite direction to the one that has been working lately, that is, portfolio rotation in favor of value.

The unusual behavior of the stock markets in November is more than relevant, after some controversial North American elections and amid a pandemic crisis, with average rises in the North American indices above 13% and with advances in the peripheral European indices (Greece, Italy, and Spain) above 27%. The latter cases are explained by having been the markets most affected by the pandemic and after the announcement of an upcoming vaccine.

The outflows of safe havens are reflected in assets such as Gold that has broken down technical support levels of importance in the $1800 zone and in the dollar that is weakening in all areas.

EUR/USD has shot higher due to the dollar's weakness and returns to the psychological resistance zone of 1.2000, having reached 1.1990.

 

Above these levels, a daily close makes its way from a technical perspective to the next levels of price concentration between 1.2220 and 1.2440. Undoubtedly, the ECB will pay attention to this single currency movement, which is an obstacle to achieving the objectives of its expansionary monetary policy. The president of the ECB, in her appearance today in the media, has made no mention of this, but at the next meeting, it will be a matter of interest and concern if the euro remains at these levels or higher.

The pound also remains in demand in the market. There is not much information on the development of the Brexit negotiations. Still, the market is inclined in the short term to a favorable outcome that, if it occurs, would push GBP/USD higher above its current resistance levels around the band of 1.3400-1.3500.

Esta información/estudio preparada por Miguel A. Rodriguez  no tiene en cuenta los objetivos específicos de inversión, la situación financiera o las necesidades particulares de una persona. El analista de estudios es, principalmente, responsable del contenido de este informe de estudio, en parte o en su totalidad, certifica que los puntos de vista sobre las compañías y sus valores expresados en este informe reflejan con exactitud sus puntos de vista personales, y como consecuencia, toda persona que actúe basándose en ellos lo hace bajo su propio riesgo.El estudio proporcionado no constituye los puntos de vista de KW Investments Ltd, ni es una invitación a invertir con KW Investments Ltd El analista de estudios certifica, además, que ninguna parte de su remuneración ha sido, es o será directa o indirectamente relacionada con recomendaciones o puntos de vista específicos expresados en este informe.El analista de estudios no está contratado por KW Investments Ltd Le animamos a buscar asesoramiento con un consejero financiero independiente con respecto a la idoneidad de la inversión, en virtud de otra participación separada, cuando considere oportuno que es conforme con sus objetivos específicos de inversión, su situación financiera o, sus necesidades financieras particulares antes de comprometerse a invertir..Las leyes de la República de Seychelles rigen cualquier reclamación relacionada o que surja por el contenido de la información/análisis proporcionado.

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Autor financiero

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.