EUR/USD and Gold Prices Hinge on Fed Meeting

EUR/USD and Gold Prices Hinge on Fed Meeting

Markets steadies in anticipation of the US Fed meeting on Wednesday.

The Japanese’s trade balance numbers of ¥248.3B released earlier for August came in higher than expected of -¥37.5B, and better than the prior read of ¥10.9B. Nevertheless, this data did have any noticeable effect on the Japanese yen against major currencies.

Equities

Global stock markets closed higher on Tuesday thanks to positive Chinese data. However, Asian markets on Wednesday looked more cautious anticipating the Fed meeting on Wednesday.

Investors are taking into account market risks such as the US elections, a potential no-deal Brexit, and the delay of the Coronavirus vaccine, even though the president Trump said that the jab may be ready within few weeks.

Stock Market

Change %

S&P 500

+0.5 %

Dow Jones

-0.01%

NASDQ

+1.2%

Japan 225

-0.08%

DAX 30

-0.1%

FTSI 100

+0.8%

CAC 40

+0.2%

Currencies

The US Dollar index remained flat as investors wait for the Fed meeting on Wednesday. No change in the current monetary policy is expected, yet the market’s observers would be following the central bank’s growth and inflation projections, and of course the unemployment rates. Additionally, they will pay attention to the Fed dot plot diagram and whether the Fed members’ have changed expectations for the US interest rates in the coming years.

EUR/USD saw little change keeping and remained in the current trading zone 1.1713 – 1.1909. The technical outlook remains neutral while the pair continues below 1.1909.

GBP/USD steadied this week after losing over 3% of its value last week due to Johnson’s controversial internal market bill that breaches in part of it the UK commitments in the EU/UK exit treaty. With that said, we still think that both would agree eventually, due to the expensive bill they must pay in the hard Brexit scenario. From a technical point of view, a close below 1.2773 would change Cable’s technical outlook to negative.

Commodities

The oil price has traded higher for the second day due to a disruption in the US oil supply caused by hurricane Sally. The US Crude rose by 3.2% and Brent oil rallied by 2.5% on Tuesday, both markets extended their gains on Wednesday due to reports that the outage may continue for several days.

Gold rallied to a near two-week high on Tuesday then pulled back as investors preferred to wait for the Fed meeting before pushing the yellow metal in a clear direction. From a technical point of view, Gold’s outlook remains neutral while moving in the current trading zone $1,921 - $2,015.

Looking Ahead

On Wednesday, investors will know about the Eurozone balance of trade for July at 1:00 PM (UAE time), the Canadian inflation rate with the US retails sales for August come at 4:30 PM, and at 10:00 PM all eyes will be on the Fed rate decision and economic projections than the Fed chair press conference at 10:30 PM.

The Fed Dot Plot Diagram June 10-2020


Diagram source: The Federal Reserve Projection Materials

Informațiile prezentate în acest document sunt pregătite de Mahmoud Alkudsi și nu au intenția de a constitui consultanță pentru investiții. Informațiile din acest document sunt furnizate drept o comunicare generală de marketing cu scop informativ și, ca atare, nu au fost pregătite în conformitate cu cerințele legale concepute pentru a promova cercetările independente în domeniul investițiilor și nu sunt supuse niciunei interdicții de abordare înainte de diseminarea cercetărilor de investiții. Nu au în vedere obiective specifice de investiții, situații financiare sau nevoi specifice ale vreunui destinatar.

Utilizatorii/cititorii nu ar trebui să se bazeze exclusiv pe informațiile prezentate aici și ar trebui să facă propriile lor cercetări/analize, prin citirea cercetărilor de bază.

Key Way Investments Ltd nu influențează și nici nu are vreo contribuție la formularea informațiilor conținute de acest document. Conținutul acestui document este generic și nu ia în considerare circumstanțele personale ale fiecărui individ, experiența de investiții sau situația financiară actuală.

Prin urmare, Key Way Investments Ltd nu va accepta nicio responsabilitate pentru eventualele pierderi ale traderilor datorate utilizării sau conținutului informațiilor prezentate în acest document. Performanța din trecut nu este un indicator viabil pentru rezultate viitoare.