EUR/USD Rallies as the Market Risk-on Goes on

EUR/USD Rallies as the Market Risk-on Goes on

Cautious optimism pushes major US indices to an all-time high. What moves markets today?

Now it is Moderna’s

Markets have remained upbeat on optimism caused by Moderna’s coronavirus vaccine. The pharmaceutical company claimed an over 94% of effectiveness of its vaccine and therefore, cyclical stocks rallied and pushed higher the Dow Jones to an all-time high at 29950 based on better economic expectations in 2021.

However, there still concerns about distribution’s logistics as Moderna’s and Pfizer’s vaccines as they need to be stored in extremely low temperatures and used quickly otherwise will become useless. Therefore, it's unlikely to recover pre-pandemic growth levels in Q1 2021 however, we could see a gradual improvement.

Stock Market

Change %

S&P 500

+1.1%

Dow Jones

+1.6%

NASDQ

+0.9%

Japan 225

+1.9%

DAX 30

+0.1%

FTSE 100

+1.3%

CAC 40

+1.2%

EUR/USD and Main FX Markets

The greenback edged lower on Tuesday on a stronger risk-on sentiment and on expectations that the Fed could increase its asset purchase program. The US Dollar index may fall towards 91.72 and a daily close below that level will change the market outlook from neutral to negative.

The EUR/USD remained above the 50-day SMA and pointed higher eyeing a test of 1.1909. A daily close above that level will change the pair's outlook to positive.

The GBP/USD benefits from optimism of a possible EU-UK free trade deal and continues trading above 1.3185, a close below this level will change the market outlook to neutral.

Gold and Oil

The oil price benefited from the coronavirus vaccines’ announcement and from a possible extension of the production cut from OPEC+ to be announced at end of November’s meeting. The extension could for 3 months to offset the increase of supply from the Libyan oil and a lower demand driven by the recent lockdowns in Europe and the increasing US infection numbers. The Brent Crude could rally towards 46.50 while above 43.70.

The Gold steadied above $1,861 and eyes a test of the 50-day SMA and a daily close above it could send the price for a test of $1,921/oz.

Looking Ahead

Not much today on the economic calendar, EUR/USD traders will tune in the ECB deputy president Guindos speech at 2:00 PM (GMT) and the US retail sales numbers of October at 2:30. Later on, investors will follow the bank of England governor bailey’s speaks at 3:00 PM with the US industrial production of October, the ECB president Lagarde speaks at 5:00 PM then Fed members Bostic, Daly, Williams speak at 7:00, 7:25, and 8:00 respectively.

Informațiile prezentate în acest document sunt pregătite de Mahmoud Alkudsi și nu au intenția de a constitui consultanță pentru investiții. Informațiile din acest document sunt furnizate drept o comunicare generală de marketing cu scop informativ și, ca atare, nu au fost pregătite în conformitate cu cerințele legale concepute pentru a promova cercetările independente în domeniul investițiilor și nu sunt supuse niciunei interdicții de abordare înainte de diseminarea cercetărilor de investiții. Nu au în vedere obiective specifice de investiții, situații financiare sau nevoi specifice ale vreunui destinatar.

Utilizatorii/cititorii nu ar trebui să se bazeze exclusiv pe informațiile prezentate aici și ar trebui să facă propriile lor cercetări/analize, prin citirea cercetărilor de bază.

Key Way Investments Ltd nu influențează și nici nu are vreo contribuție la formularea informațiilor conținute de acest document. Conținutul acestui document este generic și nu ia în considerare circumstanțele personale ale fiecărui individ, experiența de investiții sau situația financiară actuală.

Prin urmare, Key Way Investments Ltd nu va accepta nicio responsabilitate pentru eventualele pierderi ale traderilor datorate utilizării sau conținutului informațiilor prezentate în acest document. Performanța din trecut nu este un indicator viabil pentru rezultate viitoare.