Equities feel the pressure of a slowing economic activity - Market Overview

By: Miguel A. Rodriguez

14:55, 07 July 2021

After yesterday's session, the stock markets opened flat, marked by drops in both European and North American equities.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond Yield fell eight bp to 1.35%, the lowest since last February, while the German bund dropped six bp.

These things can be seen as consequences for newly formed fears regarding the slowing pace of economic activity, as illustrated by important reports like Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI).

Yesterday there was also a sharp drop in the price of crude oil, despite OPEC+ failing to reach an agreement on production cuts. The intervention of the American government urging the producing countries to reach an agreement for stopping the upward escalation of oil had an impact on the market. However, yesterday's movement can be framed in a context of a technical correction, with oil prices still far from the levels that can be considered critical supports for ending the upward trend. The RSI indicators were in the overbought zone on the daily chart, but yesterday's correction moved them back in a zone of less pressure.

Today the European Commission will release its economic forecasts, expected to show a more optimistic tone, hand in hand with the significant advances in vaccination. However, the markets expect the European Commission to also talk about the emergence of new strains of COVID-19 and the possible impact that they may have on the economic reopening. Along the same lines, yesterday, we saw how the ZEW sentiment index fell sharply yesterday.

The euro fell, with the EUR/USD pair trading near the immediate support zone located around 1.1805. Below this level, it could make its way down to the next support level located at 1.1711.

Today the FOMC Meeting Minutes are scheduled for publishing. The Fed members went from a highly dovish to a moderately dovish position by slightly tightening their dot plot to 2023, estimating two increases by the end of that year. The detailed content may provide more clues on Fed's intentions, especially on the "tapering" stimulus withdrawals, potentially influencing the Dollar’s price.

Sources: Bloomberg, reuters.com.

Share this article

This information prepared by capex.com/za is not an offer or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial products referred to herein or to enter into any legal relations, nor an advice or a recommendation with respect to such financial products.This information is prepared for general circulation. It does not regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or the particular needs of any recipient.You should independently evaluate each financial product and consider the suitability of such a financial product, by taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs, and by consulting an independent financial adviser as needed, before dealing in any financial products mentioned in this document.This information may not be published, circulated, reproduced, or distributed in whole or in part to any other person without the Company’s prior written consent.
Past performance is not always indicative of likely or future performance. Any views or opinions presented are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of capex.com/zaJME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd trading as CAPEX.COM/ZA acts as intermediary between the investor and Magnasale Trading Ltd, the counterparty to the contract for difference purchased by the Investor via CAPEX.COM/ZA, authorised & regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission with license number 264/15.  Magnasale Trading Ltd is the principal to the CFD purchased by investors.