More stimulus to be thrown at the Eurozone economy? – Market Overview – October 30

By: Miguel A. Rodriguez

10:49, 03 November 2020

1604065520.jpg
Almost all market comments today focus on the intervention of the president of the ECB yesterday and on the interpretation of the term she used: "recalibrate monetary policy instruments."

The most widespread opinion is that all possibilities are open, including a cut in deposit interest rates. However, this option is the least effective for the purposes they are trying to achieve.

Even the ECB's governing council, the Austrian Mersch, has explicitly stated that what the president pointed out is that more stimulus will come from the ECB's monetary policy. Having this this statement from a "hawkish" member of the ECB, the situation is clarified. With a high degree of probability, the central bank will intensify its stimulus policy and increase and/or extend its asset purchase policy over time.

The immediate effect of this measure will be a weaker Euro.

EUR/USD has slowed its decline today because of its oversold situation in the short term than for fundamental reasons.

The GDP figures for the third quarter of the Eurozone countries published today have been somewhat better than expected, showed significant recoveries and this has contributed to some extent to the Euro experiencing occasional rallies.

Still, these figures do not in any way offset the huge losses from previous quarters and expectations are not favorable given the return to the restricted mobility situation in almost all European countries.

Technically, the pair is leaning on the 100-day SMA at 1.1653.

The US markets

In the coming days, either due to the strength of the Dollar that will continue to act as a safe haven currency or due to the intrinsic weakness of the Euro. If this level of support breaks downward, the market will begin to focus on lower targets for the pair in the lower part of 1.1500.

In the American stock markets, the earnings of technology companies such as Apple or Facebook, although they have beaten expectations, have not succeeded in convincing investors, above all because of their forward guidance" statements, which in cases such as Facebook suggest that these results will not be so favorable in a post-epidemic future.

TECH100 remains under pressure to the downside after two weeks of continued losses and from a technical analysis perspective leaning on the 100-day SMA line at 11.094.

Below this level, it makes its way down towards the next support zone located at 10.730. Everything will largely depend on the outcome of the US elections. If volatility increases, the probability of reaching these lower levels and even lower will be high.

Share this article

This information prepared by capex.com/za is not an offer or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial products referred to herein or to enter into any legal relations, nor an advice or a recommendation with respect to such financial products.This information is prepared for general circulation. It does not regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or the particular needs of any recipient.You should independently evaluate each financial product and consider the suitability of such a financial product, by taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs, and by consulting an independent financial adviser as needed, before dealing in any financial products mentioned in this document.This information may not be published, circulated, reproduced, or distributed in whole or in part to any other person without the Company’s prior written consent.
Past performance is not always indicative of likely or future performance. Any views or opinions presented are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of capex.com/zaJME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd trading as CAPEX.COM/ZA acts as intermediary between the investor and Magnasale Trading Ltd, the counterparty to the contract for difference purchased by the Investor via CAPEX.COM/ZA, authorised & regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission with license number 264/15.  Magnasale Trading Ltd is the principal to the CFD purchased by investors.