The week starts with a whimper, not a bang – Market Overview

By: Miguel A. Rodriguez

17:13, 18 January 2021

We begin the week with a public holiday in the United States, which anticipates a session without great activity in the market.

There is no essential economic data calendar on the day either, only highlighting that published in China. GDP for the fourth quarter with a rise of 6.5%, higher than expected, and the Industrial Production of December, 7.3% vs. 6.9% anticipated, show that the pace of recovery of the world economy's engine continues to grow at a good rhythm.

This is a good sign that should influence market risk sentiment and is reflected in slight gains in the European and North American indices.

Although the stock markets are still affected by the tense situation caused after the assault on the Capitol and pending the transfer of power ceremony to be held on the 20th and for which an unprecedented security device has been deployed.

If all goes well after that event, attention will be focused on the approval of the fiscal stimulus package promised by Biden of $1.9 trillion.

For now, the DowJones30 industrial index remains in the lower part of the lateral range in which it has been trading since last day 7th between 30,630 and 31,127. This final level is the historical maximum that it should exceed to resume its previous upward trend.

The foreign exchange market also remains in a hold with a stronger US Dollar.

A movement caused mainly by the rise in the yields of US Treasury bonds.

In this case, it is not a rise caused by the increase in aversion as on previous occasions. The US Dollar acted as a safe-haven currency, but rather an intrinsic strength that could increase if the fiscal policy measures to stimulate the economy are considered sufficient by the market.

EUR/USD is trading at the low of the past few days after breaking down intermediate support at 1.2150 and rests at the next level of 1.2060. Below we find a psychological level of 1.2000 before reaching the primary support around the price concentration zone around 1.1860.

Sources:  Bloomberg, Reuters.

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