Uncertainty still looms large, as Asian markets get hit hard – Market Overview

By: Miguel A. Rodriguez

17:01, 02 March 2021

1614686325.png
The Asian stock markets have suffered setbacks, with fears of a bubble forming in China’s markets causing abrupt falls of around 1% for Japan’s and China’s indices.

In Europe, ECB Vice President De Guindos has stated their intention to act by increasing the amounts of their asset purchase program should long-term interest rates suffer an upward process, jeopardizing the financing facilities they seek with their monetary policy. He has also commented that the ECB fears an inflationary process in the United States that could affect European treasury bonds. In a way, it seems the European Central Bank blames the United States for market instability. And somehow, this could be true, considering the difference in inflation in the United States and Europe and, above all, the inflationary expectations that have soared in North America.

Interestingly, the $1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus package pending approval by the Senate is now being perceived as a potential future cause of an inflationary process that could cause interest rate hikes and stop the bullish stock market.

Bonds stabilize, North American indices plunge.

For now, the fixed income market seems to have stabilized at previous levels, with a yield for the 10-year American bond at around 1.43%.

However, the North American indices started in the red, led by TECH100 that fell around 1% but still far from the support level located at 12,691 and whose loss would end the last uptrend, from a technical point of view.

F.X. market - the U.S. Dollar gains.

In the foreign exchange market, the U.S. dollar is the currency that benefits from this situation due to the rise in long-term interest rates and risk aversion.

At the beginning of the day, the U.S. Dollar rose against all its competitors, including the yen, especially against the euro.

Following De Guindos' comments, the EUR/USD went below the 100-day SMA line, breaking the 1.2000 psychological level.

If the pair closes in this range, it could open the way towards the main support of 1.1950, below which the market could begin talking of a change in the pair's trend.

Also contributing to this movement was the publication of negative data on retail sales in Germany, showing a drop of -4.5% in January, well below expectations.

Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters.

Share this article

This information prepared by capex.com/za is not an offer or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial products referred to herein or to enter into any legal relations, nor an advice or a recommendation with respect to such financial products.This information is prepared for general circulation. It does not regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or the particular needs of any recipient.You should independently evaluate each financial product and consider the suitability of such a financial product, by taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs, and by consulting an independent financial adviser as needed, before dealing in any financial products mentioned in this document.This information may not be published, circulated, reproduced, or distributed in whole or in part to any other person without the Company’s prior written consent.
Past performance is not always indicative of likely or future performance. Any views or opinions presented are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of capex.com/zaJME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd trading as CAPEX.COM/ZA acts as intermediary between the investor and Magnasale Trading Ltd, the counterparty to the contract for difference purchased by the Investor via CAPEX.COM/ZA, authorised & regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission with license number 264/15.  Magnasale Trading Ltd is the principal to the CFD purchased by investors.