Despite a grim 2022, SABIC stock remains very popular among Saudia investors and top-performing international funds. While you can buy SABIC shares directly, sometimes it is worth considering an ETF with SABIC representation.
SABIC stock (Tadawul: 2010) has gained significant attention from investors due to the company's strong financial performance, diversified product portfolio, and strategic partnerships with major global companies.
SABIC's shares are also included in various global indices and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the performance of the chemical sector, such as the iShares MSCI Saudi Arabic ETF (KSA).
SABIC Stock (Tadawul: 2010) - Research and Ratings
- Is SABIC stock undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
- What is the analyst's 12-month SABIC stock price forecast?
- What are SABIC’s future growth expectations?
- How has SABIC stock performed over the past 5 years?
- Should you buy SABIC shares or invest in ETFs with "2010" representation?
Understanding SABIC Stock: A brief history
SABIC, also known as Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, is a global chemical manufacturing company based in Saudi Arabia. Founded in 1976, SABIC has grown to become one of the largest petrochemical companies in the world. In 2021, SABIC's shares were listed on the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) under the ticker symbol "2010".
As one of the most valuable companies in the Middle East, SABIC stock is held by a diverse range of investors, including institutional and individual investors, as well as sovereign wealth funds.
70% of the company's shares are owned by Saudi Aramco, with the remaining 30% publicly traded on the Saudi stock exchange. Since its founding in 1976, SABIC has grown rapidly and now operates in around 50 countries with over 31,000 employees.
SABIC’s business activities are divided into three segments historically:
- Creation: SABIC was created by royal decree in 1976 to turn oil by-products into valuable commodities for export and local downstream industries, transforming wasted gas into eco-friendly materials.
- Development: During the late 1970s and early 1980s, Al-Jubail transformed into a modern industrial city. Joint ventures with Hadeed, Al-Bayroni, and Ar-Razi began production in 1983, followed by others in 1985. SABIC expanded globally in 2002 with the acquisition of DSM's petrochemical business, and later with the acquisition of Huntsman Petrochemicals (UK) and GE Plastics. Today, SABIC operates through three Strategic Business Units and one standalone organization, Metals (Hadeed), and continues to explore global investment opportunities.
- Emerge: SABIC's growth has never stopped since its inception. In 1985, the company's total production was 6.3 million metric tons, reaching 58 million metric tons in 2021. In the span of just 46 years, SABIC has become the second most valuable brand in the chemical industry*, with a vision to be the preferred world leader in chemicals.
SABIC shares are distributed among 4 categories:
- Public Companies: 70.0%
- General Public: 26.4%
- Institutions: 3.5%
- Individual Insiders: 0.01%
The top 25 shareholders own 73.32% of the company, while the top 5 shareholders are:
- Saudi Arabian Oil Company (Aramco Co.) - 70%
- The Vanguard Group, Inc. - 1.18%
- BlackRock, Inc. - 0.89%
- Dimensional Fund Advisors LP - 0.24%
- Geode Capital Management, LLC - 0.17%
SABIC Stock - Fundamental Analysis and Financial Ratings
See the latest SABIC stock price analysis, including valuation, future growth, past performance, and more to help you make more informed investing decisions.
Valuation
Is SABIC stock undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts, and its price relative to the market?
- SABIC stock is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (30.6x).
- SABIC stock is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the Asian Chemicals industry average (17.2x).
- SABIC stock is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x).
Future Growth
SABIC’s revenue is forecasted to decline at -0.05% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 5.8% per year. EPS and ROE are forecast to grow 5.2% and 9.9% each year respectively.
- SABIC's forecast earnings growth (5.8% per year) is below the savings rate (8.9%).
- SABIC's earnings (5.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Saudi market (2% per year).
- SABIC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
- SABIC's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.05% per year).
Past Performance
How has SABIC stock performed over the past 5 years?
- SABIC shares have high quality earnings.
- SABIC shares' current net profit margins (8.3%) are lower than last year's (13.2%).
- SABIC shares earnings have grown by 1.5% per year over the past 5 years.
- SABIC shares have had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
- SABIC shares had negative earnings growth (-28.3%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Chemicals industry average (-21.9%).
- SABIC share's Return on Equity (10.8%) is considered low.
Financial Health
What is SABIC's financial position?
- SABIC's short-term assets (SAR106.8B) exceed its short-term liabilities (SAR48.2B).
- SABIC's short-term assets (SAR106.8B) exceed its long-term liabilities (SAR47.3B).
- SABIC has more cash than its total debt.
- SABIC's debt-to-equity ratio has reduced from 27.2% to 13.1% over the past 5 years.
- SABIC's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (125.9%).
- SABIC's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (27.4x coverage).
Dividend
SABIC is a company that pays dividends and currently offers a yield of 4.5% that is well covered by earnings.
- SABIC's dividend (4.53%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Saudi market (1.92%).
- SABIC's dividend (4.53%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the Saudi market (4.32%).
- SABIC's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.
- SABIC's dividend payments have fallen over the past 10 years.
SABIC Stock Price Forecast
What is the analyst 12-month SABIC stock price forecast, and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target from analysts?
Source: simplywall.st
According to Simplywall.st, the SABIC stock 12-month target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
Wallet investor site suggests that the price of SABIC stock will decline in 2023 compared to the current price, ending the year at an average price of 85.044 SAR.
There are no 5-year Alahli shares price forecasts and price predictions.
Important: When considering SABIC's fundamental analysis, financial rating and price predictions, it’s important to remember that high market volatility and changing economic environment makes it difficult to give long-term estimates. As such, analysts and algorithm-based platforms can and do get their ratings and predictions wrong. Always do your own research before making an investment decision. And never trade or invest more than you can afford to lose.
SABIC Stock Price - Technical Analysis
SABIC share price is trading through a sideways channel as shown on the weekly chart below, and the resistance level at 94.50 SAR is still holding, despite the price's attempt to surpass it several times.
However, this resistance level appears to correspond to the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. The price breaching this level will support the bullish trend, which may open the door to achieving further growth and re-correcting the bearish wave that started in March 2022.
Fibonacci levels provide a reading that may be highly correct for traders, especially if applied over long periods of time. In the above timeframe, it seems that breaching the current levels to the upside will open the door to reaching the main resistance at 110.80 SAR, which is the 0.5 Fibonacci correction as well.
>> Learn more about technical analysis with our free trading courses for beginners.
How to Invest in SABIC Stock
Some investors want to take an active hand in managing their investments, while others prefer to set it and forget it. Your preference may change but decide on an approach to get started.
For most people, stock market investing means choosing among these two investment types:
Individual SABIC shares
If you’re after a specific company, you can buy a single share or a few shares to dip your toe into the stock-trading waters. Building a diversified portfolio out of many individual stocks is possible, but it takes significant investment and research.
If you go this route, remember that individual stocks will have ups and downs. If you research a company and choose to invest in it, think about why you picked that company in the first place if jitters start to set in on a down day.
Traditional stockbrokers allow you to invest in local stocks. However, you might not be able to invest in international stocks listed on the major stock exchanges, global ETFs, and other assets.
ETFs with SABIC holdings
SABIC stock (or any single stock, for that matter) can be a very volatile investment. You can manage the risk you see extreme highs and lows by diversifying your investment holdings. An ETF, for instance, contains a basket of individual stocks. When you invest in a fund, you also own small pieces of each of those companies.
If you want an ETF with Alahli representation, you might consider iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA). BlackRock's iShares is the largest provider of ETFs as calculated by assets under management.
Why invest in SABIC Stock via KSA?
The iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF seeks to track the investment results of a broad-based index composed of Saudi Arabian equities. With net assets of almost $1B, The iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) is the largest exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the investment results of an index composed primarily of frontier market equities along with select emerging market equities.
- Access to the Saudi Arabian stock market, which has historically been closed to foreign investors.
- Targeted exposure to a country with growth potential. with one-click access to a virtually untapped investment portfolio, including Saudi Stock Exchange and TASI index exposure.
- Use to seek long-term growth and diversification.
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- Choose which type of account you want to use. Your first concern should be your risk appetite and time horizon. If you want to buy and hold shares, open an Invest account. If you want to speculate on price movements (including falling prices) with zero commission and leverage, open a trading account.
- Create an account. Regardless of your chosen account, you need to register and complete the KYC process to verify your identity.
- Fund your account with fiat money. Before buying and trading stocks and ETFs, you need to fund your exchange account with U.S. dollars, Euros, or other currencies.
- Place your order. Click on the "Search" icon located in the left panel or by clicking on "ETFs" and then select the instrument, such as "iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF”.
When trading stocks, the derivatives are stored in your account and are more liquid than the underlying asset.
However, you should be aware that leveraged trading is fast-moving and requires close monitoring. As a result, traders should be aware of the significant risks when trading derivatives. There are margins you need to maintain; if you cannot cover reductions in values, your position might be closed, and you'll have to meet the loss no matter what subsequently happens to the underlying asset.
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Sources:
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SASE:2010) Stock Valuation - Simply Wall St
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (2010.SR) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance
FAQs
Why do investors buy SABIC stock?
Investors will buy SABIC stock to:
- Make a profit from the SABIC stock price rising
- Receive an income from dividends if the company pays them
- Benefit from the effects of compounding
Investors should be aware they might get back fewer returns than they initially invested.
Should you invest in SABIC stock in 2023?
Whether you buy SABIC shares directly or invest in an ETF with SABIC representation is a personal decision you should take depending on your risk tolerance and investing strategy. You should do your own research to develop an informed view of the market. Always make sure to do your own research. And never invest money you cannot afford to lose.
How do I buy SABIC shares?
To buy shares in SABIC stock you'll need a share-dealing account with an online stockbroker offering stocks listed on the Saudi Stock Exchange. Once you have opened your account and transferred funds into it, you'll be able to search and select shares to buy and sell.