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EUR/USD& Gold Near a Key Support Level Ahead of the US Elections

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 noviembre 2022
What moves markets today? Lockdowns, the US national polls, data release, or all of the above?

The Australian manufacturing PMI final numbers of October released earlier of 54.2 came lower than the prior read of 55.4. The released data did not have a noticeable effect on the Australian Dollar against major currencies.

 

Equities

Global stock markets closed on Friday the monthly candlestick in the red caused by reimposed lockdowns in Europe to the delay in the fiscal stimulus approval to the uncertainty of the US elections. All of these factors affected the market's risk appetite and pushed investors to safe havens.

 

The UK PM announced in the weekend a partial lockdown in England, while China resumes its economic recovery due to cheap oil prices. Eyes are focused on the US elections as polls in swinging states show a narrow difference between Trump and Biden, yet it favors somehow the Democratic candidate.

 

Stock Market

Change %

S&P 500

-0.2%

Dow Jones

+0.06%

NASDQ

-1.3%

Japan 225

-0.3%

DAX 30

+0.1%

FTSE 100

+0.1%

CAC 40

+1.2%

 

EUR/USD and Main FX Markets 

The greenback benefited from the risk-off sentiment and recovered the previous week’s losses. The US Dollar index closed the monthly candlestick with a bullish Doji candlestick highlighting the market’s indecision. On Monday, the US dollar rallied even further to a five-week high at 94.29. A close above 94.95 would change the US dollar index from neutral to positive.

The EUR/USD traded lower eyeing a test of the current 1.1621- 1.1909 trading zone. A close below this level could send the price even lower towards 1.1459.

The British Pound retreated due to expectations of lower growth of the UK economy caused by the newly imposed lockdown in England. The GBP/USD slipped on Monday by 0.5% eyeing a test of 1.2804. A Further break below this level could send the price towards 1.2773.

 

Gold and Oil

The oil price opened this week with a downward gap caused by weaker demand expectations as some states in Europe like Germany and France closed their economy partially. The Brent Crude could be on the way for a test of $35.00 a barrel, while the US oil may drop towards 31.50.

The Gold price rebounded last week from $1,859 and kept its neutral outlook. The price could be on the way for a test of $1,921. That said, a close below $1,861 changes the technical outlook to negative and could send the price towards $1,796.

Looking Ahead

The EUR/USD and Gold traders will be checking the Canadian manufacturing PMI final number of October at 3:30 PM (GMT) then theUS manufacturing PMI final number of October at 4:00 PM.

Esta información/estudio preparada por Miguel A. Rodriguez  no tiene en cuenta los objetivos específicos de inversión, la situación financiera o las necesidades particulares de una persona. El analista de estudios es, principalmente, responsable del contenido de este informe de estudio, en parte o en su totalidad, certifica que los puntos de vista sobre las compañías y sus valores expresados en este informe reflejan con exactitud sus puntos de vista personales, y como consecuencia, toda persona que actúe basándose en ellos lo hace bajo su propio riesgo.El estudio proporcionado no constituye los puntos de vista de KW Investments Ltd, ni es una invitación a invertir con KW Investments Ltd El analista de estudios certifica, además, que ninguna parte de su remuneración ha sido, es o será directa o indirectamente relacionada con recomendaciones o puntos de vista específicos expresados en este informe.El analista de estudios no está contratado por KW Investments Ltd Le animamos a buscar asesoramiento con un consejero financiero independiente con respecto a la idoneidad de la inversión, en virtud de otra participación separada, cuando considere oportuno que es conforme con sus objetivos específicos de inversión, su situación financiera o, sus necesidades financieras particulares antes de comprometerse a invertir..Las leyes de la República de Seychelles rigen cualquier reclamación relacionada o que surja por el contenido de la información/análisis proporcionado.

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Autor financiero

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.