Article Hero

German DAX Index Reaches New Heights After German CPI News Boosts Hopes for Dovish ECB Policy

Actiuni
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
10 February 2023

German actual CPI calculated for the month of March was 9.2%. Germany's DAX rose to all-time highs (since March), according to Harmonized Index data published on a Eurostat press release. 

Indices began the day higher, led by big tech and other sectors that reported higher-than-expected corporate earnings, as investors appeared to ignore troubling signals from the Treasury market that the yield curve had inverted. It had reached its lowest point since the 1980s. 

Economists view the inversion of the yield curve as a sign of impending recession. This year's heady rally in growth stocks has regained traction, with Tesla Inc. (TSLA) more than doubling in value from an intraday low in January.  

The Walt Disney Company announced plans for a major restructuring of the world's largest entertainment company, including 7,000 job cuts and a $5.5 billion cost-cutting measure. Profits at PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) exceeded expectations, indicating that retail consumers are unaffected by inflation and are absorbing higher prices. 

However, as the session progressed, the stock indices lost steam and ended relatively unchanged, indicating that investors require new incentives to maintain risk appetite, which can only come from economic data such as the CPI, which is released next Tuesday. After last Friday's non-farm payroll figure dampened market enthusiasm, a confirmation of the downward trend in inflation, particularly in core CPI data, would boost investor sentiment. 

Treasury yields remained stable, with the 10-year bond yielding around 3.60%. The dollar experienced a roller coaster ride, beginning with weakness as stocks rallied and returning to the starting level in the afternoon as indices pulled back from highs.  

In Europe, the CPI figure for Germany is noteworthy, having fallen to 9.2% in harmonized year-on-year data, which is still high but lower than the previous month. In any case, it was enough to propel the German DAX index to new highs not seen since March 2022.  

Technically, the index is overbought on the daily chart and thus vulnerable to technical corrections following the rally that began in October of last year. 

Related: Dow Jones analysis and price predictions 

Germany 40 price chart

Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters 

This information/research prepared by Miguel A. Rodriguez does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

Share this article

How did you find this article?

Awful
Ok
Great
Awesome

Read More

Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
Financial Writer

Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.